Monday, February 13, 2006

JG Polls: February 13-19

A few teams lost but most of 'em won.


1. UConn
2. Duke
3. Villanova
4. Texas
5. Memphis
6. Gonzaga
7. Tennessee
8. UCLA
9. Pitt
10. George Washington
11. Florida
12. Michigan State
13. West Virginia
14. Illinois
15. NC State
16. Iowa
17. Ohio State
18. Georgetown
19. Washington
20. Northern Iowa
21. Kansas
22. Creighton
23. Michigan
24. North Carolina
25. Wichita State

You see, I rate teams based on how good they are, not by the names across their chests. Tennessee is the real deal and the best team in the SEC. I have no respect for the ACC except for Duke and NC State. The Big East and Big Ten are the best conferences in the country. Third best? The Missouri Valley.

Hate it or love it, that is my top 25.

Third Edition of Weekly Picks

I'm back and arguably better than ever. After a glorious start to winners/losers predictions, I have slowed down slightly. My totals are as follows:

Game Winners: 60-27
Covering My Spread: 34-53

See how hard it is to pick a spread and then have it covered?

Anyway, on to my picks and then I will post my rankings.


MONDAY--February 13th

UCONN at Villanova--I just think UConn has too much size and depth for the 'Cats. It will be a good one though. UCONN by 4.

KANSAS at Oklahoma State- Best wishes to Eddie Sutton, who was injured this past week in a car accident. His team is struggling and Kansas is on fire. KANSAS by 6.

Louisiana Tech at NEVADA- I love Nick Fazekas. He is great. And that is why Nevada will run away with the WAC after this win. NEVADA by 3.

TUESDAY--February 14th

Alabama at SOUTH CAROLINA- This is the kind of game that makes my spread covering look so bad. SOUTH CAROLINA by 2.

Creighton at WICHITA STATE- Huge game for both teams and a really tough week for Wichita State. They should win at home in this MVC showdown. STATE by 3.

WEST VIRGINIA at Seton Hall- It doesn't get any easier for the rest of the way for the Pirates. After losing by 42, yeah read it again, to UConn, they need to get back on track ASAP before their tournament resume becomes worthless. Tough break. WEST VIRGINIA by 5.

Wake Forest at DUKE- This one's a no-brainer. Skip Prosser wants to leave and Duke has the nation's best player and coach. DUKE by 7.

MARYLAND at Clemson- Huge game for both teams. Maryland needs to resurrect their season if they want to reach the tourney. Same with Clemson. I like the TERRAPINS by 3.

Michigan State at IOWA- Iowa is the best team in the Big Ten. Michigan State has the most talent. This will be a good one. IOWA by one.

WEDNESDAY--February 15th

Minnesota at MICHIGAN- Michigan is coming off a really tough week and Minnesota is coming off a big road win. MICHIGAN will win because they need to, and they'll take it by 4.

Florida State at NC STATE- NC State is the only other good team in the ACC after Duke. Florida State doesn't really win close games and this time won't be any different. NC STATE by 5.

Hofstra at UNC-WILMINGTON- This is a huge game for the CAA crown. There is a three-way tie atop the conference and this game could be the difference. I like NC-WILMINGTON at home and I like them as the conference champs. UNCW by 3.

South Florida at NOTRE DAME- Finally, the Irish can breathe. This shouldn't be an awfully tough challenge for Notre Dame, but don't sleep on the fiesty Bulls. NOTRE DAME by 4.

St. John's at RUTGERS- And suddenly, St. John's is terrible. They will continue losing with a nice, 4 point loss to RUTGERS at the RAC.

Cincinnati at SYRACUSE- And the mighty wall came tumblin' down. Syracuse by 5.

PITT at Providence- PC will provide two worthy characters in Herbert Hill and Randall Hanke to guard Aaron Gray. But Pitt's depth is too much for the up-and-coming Friars. Pitt by 3.

Nebraska at IOWA STATE- The Cyclones need to take their fury out on someone and Nebraska is in town. It won't be a bad game either. IOWA STATE by 3.

Georgia at KENTUCKY- The definition of overrated plays host to a decent Georgia team. Kentucky is at home and really needs this one. UK by 7.

OHIO STATE at Wisconsin- Huge game for Wisconsin. They have to win to stay on the bubble. If they lose, they will start sliding down the wrong end of the proverbial bubble and maybe out of consideration. OHIO STATE by 2.

OKLAHOMA at Colorado- Two overrated teams collide in Boulder for the ultimate throwdown. Or just another lackluster Big 12 snoozer. Oklahoma by 3.

THURSDAY--February 16th

Miami at BOSTON COLLEGE- I picked Miami a few times and I just don't know why. Forget about them. Boston College by 7.

GEORGETOWN at Marquette- Look for the Hoyas to rebound after the tough loss to West Virginia. GEORGETOWN by 5.

Arizona at CAL- Huge game for both teams as they prepare for their February and March runs at a tournament bid. CAL by 1.

FRIDAY--February 17th

Akron at NEVADA- I love the idea of a "BracketBuster" weekend. Nevada wins because a) they are home and b) Akron will have traveled very far. Great reasoning huh? Nevada by 3.

PROVIDENCE at Cincinnati- The Bearcats are falling fast and hard. PC is growing up. Expect it to be sloppy but PC wins by 3.

SATURDAY--February 18th

DEPAUL at St. John's- I am picking against the Red Storm for the rest of the season. DePaul by 3.

Bucknell at NORTHERN IOWA- Oh baby! The matchup of the little guys. The Cinderellas meet in one ultimate contest. Northern Iowa by 3 in a thriller.

Iowa State at OKLAHOMA- This should be a tight affair, but I like Oklahoma at home. Sooners by 5.

Kentucky at SOUTH CAROLINA- Say goodbye to a tournament bid, UK, this game will puncture that bubble. South Carolina by 4.

Florida at ARKANSAS- This week's upset special. Arkansas is good. Florida is overrated. And I smell a tournament bid for the Razorbacks. Arkansas by 3.

UConn at WEST VIRGINIA- I got a fever. And the prescription is more Gansey. 'Eers by 3.

Michigan at MICHIGAN STATE- The Spartans are too good at home and too good period for a struggling Michigan club. MICHIGAN STATE by 4.

TENNESSEE at Alabama- The Volunteers are straight nasty. Too bad they will lose against a weird team in the first or second round. TENNESSEE by 6.

NOTRE DAME at Seton Hall- I don't know why, but I like the Irish in this one. ND by 3.

George Mason at WICHITA STATE- What a great matchup! I love these mid-majors duking it out on national tv. STATE by 5.

Louisville at SYRACUSE- The Orangemen are better than Louisville. That is reason enough to pick them at home. 'Cuse by 4.

PITT at Marquette- Pitt will roll into the Big East tourney. This is the second stop. PITT by 7.

SUNDAY--February 18th

Georgetown at VILLANOVA- Recovery Central in Philly. What a game. 'Nova by 3 in a fantastic Big East game.

UNC at Wake Forest- I guess this is kind of a rivalry. UNC will handle things though. UNC by 4.

Arizona at STANFORD- Another good game. Stanford will do the damn thang because they are home. STANFORD by 3.

Indiana at IOWA- Indiana stinks. Iowa is good. Iowa by 9.

Miami at DUKE- The guard play will keep Miami competitive but Duke is too good. Duke by 8.

UCLA at USC- The clamps will be on the basket when USC shoots. UCLA plays great D and wins big games. UCLA by 5.

Some great games on tap folks. Enjoy!

Tuesday, February 07, 2006

The JG Poll for February 6-12

This is my top 25 based on my perception of these teams:

1. UConn
2. Duke
3. Villanova
4. Florida
5. Texas
6. Memphis
7. Illinois
8. West Virginia
9. Michigan State
10. Gonzaga
11. UCLA
12. Tennessee
13. Pitt
14. George Washington
15. Georgetown
16. NC State
17. Iowa
18. Ohio State
19. LSU
20. Boston College
21. Michigan
22. Kansas
23. Northern Iowa
24. Washington
25. Colorado

Teams that are ranked by AP and ESPN that shouldn't be:

North Carolina, Oklahoma and Indiana.

Gonzaga isn't deserving of all their credit by the sports writers in the country. Memphis doesn't play anyone. George Washington doesn't either. BC and NC State are disrespected because the ACC is awful and doesn't deserve much respect at all. 'Nuff said.

Weekly Picks: Second Edition

So after a solid 32-11 start in picking winners, I feel confident heading into this week's picks. I'm a day late so I will just ignore last night's games and just do Tuesday through Sunday.

Anyway, I heard Dicky V. will be in town for Thursday night's Pitt-West Virginia game, which will be televised on ESPN at 9 p.m. Who's doing the play-by-play for WPTS-Pittsburgh, Pitt's campus radio station? None other than yours truly. Hey, maybe I'll meet Dick back in the media room, that would cool huh? I will keep you posted.

To the picks, and perhaps my demise after a good start:

Tuesday--February 7

TENNESSEE at Kentucky- Tennessee is the hottest team in the SEC and Kentucky just keep falling (in looooove, in love, with-a you...a little Alicia Keys for you). This game will be a close one, Tennessee by 3.

St. Joseph's at VILLANOVA- Remember when St. Joe's was great? Phil Martelli was the nation's hottest coach but now his club is 10-9 and about to get slaughtered. Villanova by 15.

MISSOURI at Baylor- Two of the country's most scandalous programs meet in a Big 12 showdown. While one team will obviously pay their players to beat the other team, who will probably play with no more than seven or eight dressed players, several of them soon to be wanted for murder. Inappropriate? Yes. Funny? Naturally. Missouri by 10.

Wichita State at NORTHERN IOWA- I love the MVC. My dad watched it growing up and now they are arguably one of the better conferences around. Look for the Panthers of Northern Iowa to rebound (pun intended) after a tough loss. Northern Iowa by 6.

PROVIDENCE at DePaul- DePaul doesn't have an answer inside for Randall Hanke. Providence is battling to make the Big East tournament, which would be nice considering they were expected to finish somewhere between 14th and 16th in the conference. Providence by 4.

DUKE at North Carolina- This will be a good game, I hope. But like the Steelers, you can expect Duke to have the officials on their side. Duke by 8.

Wednesday--February 8

ALBANY at Hartford- Look for Albany to get a key road victory led by Jamar Wilson. Hartford is struggling again, so this one shouldn't be too tough for Albany. Albany by 11.

South Carolina at FLORIDA- The Gators were just nasty against Kentucky and I don't see any reason why they won't win at home against a floundering South Carolina team. It's scramble mode in Columbia. Florida by 8.

SETON HALL at South Florida- Seton Hall is scorching hot, led by D-Nasty himself, Donald Copeland. South Florida couldn't buy a win at this point, especially if they can't be DePaul at home. Seton Hall by 7.

COLORADO at Texas A&M- I really didn't know who to pick in this game. I have a feeling it will be close, with both teams looking to get back on track after tough losses. Colorado by 1.

Indiana at WISCONSIN- Nobody, except Penn State apparently, can win on the road in the Big 10. Both of these teams are struggling, but Indiana just doesn't have the same capabilities without DJ White. Wisconsin by 5.

NC State at MIAMI- Upset special. Miami has some great guard play that should help them at home. NC State is coming off a big win against Maryland, so expect a little bit of a letdown. Miami is a tournament team in my eyes at this point. Miami by 3.

Rutgers at NOTRE DAME- Possibly the two teams with the worst luck in all of college basketball meet in South Bend for a thriller. This is a good game between two teams that are desperately trying to salvage their seasons. Douby will light it up but Notre Dame will get that elusive Big East win. Notre Dame by 4.

BOSTON COLLEGE at The Powerhouse formerly known as Wake Forest- Boston College will win this game, despite doing everything possible to lose it. Wake Forest is the definition of power conference trash. Boston College by 7.

Kansas at NEBRASKA- Nebraska's basketball team is arguably better than their football team! Kansas is playing a lot better now but this is a tough road contest. Nebraska will win a tight game by 3.

Arkansas at LSU- This is one of the best games this week in my opinion. Two very good teams that should be in the tournament meet in Baton Rouge for a, as Al Michaels would, "YOOGE" game. LSU wins by 5 because they are home.

Syracuse at UCONN- Oh, hey Syracuse...this is awkward. Shouldn't you be good? You kind of stink against good teams. UCONN is going to mop the floor with the Orangemen. UCONN by 13.

AIR FORCE at San Diego State- Great game. Air Force is quietly one of the best teams out west and San Diego State offers a formidable challenge. Look for a close one, but Air Force wins on the road by 4.

Thursday--February 9

Ohio State at MICHIGAN- Hello rivalry. Wrong sport, but still a good matchup. Michigan will win at home after losing big to Iowa. Ohio State will be fine, but it's just too tough to win on the road in the Big 10. Michigan by 5.

George Mason at VCU- Big time game for two teams bound for their conference championship. Perhaps a preview? VCU wins by 4 at home.

St. John's at GEORGETOWN- The Hoyas are unstoppable at home. They've got lots of momentum and the Red Storm just lost to Providence. Georgetown wins by 9.

West Virginia at PITT- Pitt draws first blood in their return to the Petersen Events Center. West Virginia will win in Morgantown, but Pitt has too much riding on this game to lose it. Pitt by 3.

Stanford at CAL- "YOOGE" game. Stanford is catching some February heat and Cal is a good team in general. Cal's big fella Powe looks a lot like Ike Diogu. Cal by 4.

USC at WASHINGTON- Oh no! Both teams are in caps :-(. I don't know who he picked...Well, USC is always in caps, but Washington isn't. The Trojans are climbing back into the Pac-10 race, but Washington needs this game more. Huskies by 7.

Friday--February 10

Stetson at MERCER- Their combined records at 11-32, but you gotta love the trio of Skogen, Brown and Emerson on Mercer. This will be a good game just like the last matchup, when Mercer won by 1 point. Mercer by 3.

Saturday--February 11

IOWA at Indiana- Iowa has a three-man wrecking crew that is going to make some noise in the NCAA Tournament. Brunner, Haluska and Horner are all good players. Indiana is struggling. Iowa by 3.

South Florida at LOUISVILLE- How huge was that Taquan Dean three-pointer against Notre Dame? Too bad the Cards lost to Cincinnati in a rivalry game. South Florida is just not ready to actually win Big East games. They can compete most certainly, just not win. Louisville by 9.

LSU at Florida- Yeah, I'm picking LSU. I don't know why, I just have a hunch. LSU by 3.

DUKE at Maryland- Duke will be wearing their special, black-and-white striped jerseys to this game even though it's on the road. Duke by 7.

VILLANOVA at DePaul- Villanova has too much experience. DePaul will be good next year I think, but this year is a learning experience. 'Nova by 9.

Southern Illinois at CREIGHTON- Another big game in the MVC. With Creighton at home, it's hard to pick against them. Creighton by 4.

UCLA at Washington- UCLA is a good team. Washington is a good team. Game on. UCLA by 2.

Nebraska at TEXAS- Oh baby, another good game! Texas will handle their business at home. I love their new setup with Paulino in the starting lineup. I think I said that last week. Texas by 11.

Iowa State at KANSAS- Last year this game was incredible. Iowa State got hosed on some calls and eventually lost to an overrated Kansas team. This year, Kansas actually has to work for respect, and they'll get it with a tough home win. Kansas by 5.

UCONN at Seton Hall- This will be a tough test for UCONN on the road against a very gritty team. But UConn isn't the most talented team in the nation for nothin'. UConn by 9.

Stanford at GONZAGA- Blah blah blah, ADAM MORRISON, blah blah blah. Gonzaga by 6.

Sunday-February 12

SIENA at Rider- The other school in the beautiful town of Princeton, N.J., will lose a tough home game against a very mediocre Siena team. Siena by 8.

ILLINOIS at Ohiop State- Big time game between two big time teams. Illinois will win. Why? Dee "Holy S---, did he really just make that?" Brown, that's why (oh, I like his reasoning). Illinois by 5.

MARQUETTE at Rutgers- This will be a great game. Marquette is a good team and Rutgers is so tough at home. It's hard picking against the old A-Ten mop ups, but why not? Marquette gets a HUGE road win by 3.

Cincinnati at PITT- Pitt will win with their depth and all-around better teamwork. Cincy is a decent team, but there just seems to be too much going on off the court to allow them to really excel on the hardwood. Pitt by 5.

SYRACUSE at St. John's- It's hard picking against St. John's twice in one week, but Syracuse has to win some games. Syracuse by 3.

WEST VIRGINIA at Georgetown- Fantastic game on tap for Big East and college basketball fans. This will be a gritty one. West Virginia by 4.

North Carolina at MIAMI- Again, I really like Miami. UNC is good for a young team, but Miami has that guard experience that really helps down the stretch. Miami by 5.

Alabama State at ALABAMA A&M- The thrilla in Huntsveel (Huntsville, Ala.). Obie Trotter arguably has the best name in all of college basketball. Look for A&M to light it up with their three big scorers. A&M by 5.

That'll do it ladies and gents. Look at my rankings posted above. Tell me what you think. See you soon.

After one week: Winners 32-11; Spread 16-27.

Sunday, February 05, 2006

Super Bowl

And the final is...21-10 Steelers. Good game all around. It had some great ebbs and flows while the momentum swung back and forth. I believe the Seahawks crushed themselves. They outplayed the Steelers, honestly, for 75% of the game, BUT the Steelers got it done when it counted.

Congratulations to the Steelers and their fans for their Super Bowl victory.

I voted for Hines Ward for Super Bowl MVP because he had the best statistics out of all of the players. I always vote for the best player on the winning team, even if a player in a losing effort plays amazingly.

Roethlisberger made some big mistakes but managed the game well. Antwaan Randle-El made the best pass of the game. His trick pass to Hines Ward was the best play of the game. That play combined with Willie Parker's 75-yard line run pushed the Steelers over the edge.

It was a better game then the score indicated and I can say that I'm satisfied with the way it played out.

To finish, congratulations to Pittsburgh and the Steelers. Big win, great city, great fans. Congrats.

Weekly Picks Change

Well folks, we're almost through two weeks of predictions. UConn-Seton Hall is at 8pm EST tonight (Saturday) and Gonzaga-Stanford is at 9pm EST. Before these games, my record for winning picks is 22-12 this week and 44-23 overall. That's a great record, but it's only for when I pick winners. I will look back on the last two weeks and change the record to whether or not my line was covered.

For example, if I predicted Pitt by three over West Virginia, and Pitt won by 3 or more, I would be right. But if West Virginia won or lost by two or less, I'd be wrong and mark it as an incorrect pick.

Sound good? I like telling myself I pick well, and I actually do well picking the winners, but not the scores as much. I will keep the winner-prediction record AND the spread record. From now on, there will be two records posted and I will correct last week's post.

Thanks and keep reading!

Super Bowl Thoughts

Well, the Rolling Stones are blasting on the television next to me, but I can't stop thinking about the actual game. The Seahawks should be winning the game at this point. The Steelers are lucky for the penalty on Darrell Jackson and the Roethlisberger touchdown ruling.

First off, the petty penalty on Jackson could cost the Seahawks the Super Bowl in the long run. Tell me that same exact play has gone without a call 99 times out of 100. I will not argue whether or not it was a push-off, as it clearly was, but how often is that small of a push called? Especially on a receiver? Just a tick-tack call that hurts the Seahawks.

The Seahawks have done nothing to help themselves despite the Steelers looking just bad offensively. Like John Madden said, the Steelers just don't seem to have much a plan and they aren't taking control when they have the pill. Roethlisberger looked nervous most of the half. The Steelers have done incredibly well thus far considering the fact that they've been outplayed and look timid so far.

The ball did not cross the plane from vantage point on the Roethlisberger touchdown. Mike Holmgren is obviously fuming about it and I can't blame him. Even the nose of the ball seemed just, just shy on the goal line. Roethlisberger, to his credit, sold it so well that there was no way they'd overturn the call. The call in the first place by the side judge should have been short of the end zone.

At this point, the Seahawks have created an environment in which it's up to them if they want to win. They are in control of their own destiny, if you really want a sports cliche. They have to finish off their drives and keep attacking. The Steelers offense hasn't done anything, but don't expect that to last.

The second half is going to be good. The Steelers will be more effective on offense, I guarantee it. The Seahawks better execute penalty-free or they will lose this game. It's going to be close. The 'Stones are over, so it's time for more football! Catch you all at the end of the game!