Wednesday, February 21, 2007

Updates

It's been 11 days since I last posted, so there's lots to cover. First, there are arguably seven good teams in college hoops. Eight on a good day. And I can't express that enough. No one is good outside of those eight. The age-old saying was that champs often come from the second shelf -- the No. 6-15 ranked teams. But this year's group lags. No talent. No signs of life. No one wants to be ranked after the top eight. Everyone else loses when they shouldn't.

Enough furious ranting. Let's update a few things.

One seeds -- Florida, UCLA, Wisconsin, Ohio State
- Yes, I still rate those four ahead of the others, even with some questionable stumbles over the past weeks
Two seeds -- North Carolina, Texas A&M, Kansas, Pitt
- UNC and A&M could jump to the top line if UCLA, 'consin or State stumble. Kansas and Pitt are at their peak positions. Any bad losses could drop them to 3s.
Three seeds -- Washington State, Memphis, Nevada, Georgetown
- I think Wazzou and Memphis could jump to 2s if KU and Pitt struggle over the next two weeks. I think Nevada and Georgetown would have to win impressively to move any higher. Nothing wrong with a 3.
Four seeds -- Butler, Southern Illinois, Air Force, Kentucky
- How about that for mid-major influence? With Nevada at a 3 and Butler, SIU and Air Force at 4s, it'd be hard to root for Cinderellas. Kentucky's in because of its RPI.

Hot -- Kansas, Georgetown, Louisville, Winthrop, Purdue, SIU, BYU, Nevada
Not -- Clemson, New Mexico State, Arkansas, Oregon, Northern Iowa, Michigan, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Marquette, Florida State

Notice how many teams I've listed as struggling?

Improving its chances of getting in -- Providence. With wins over scrappy St. John's and No. 22/18 West Virginia put the Friars back on the bubble after a tough pair of road losses to Pitt and Notre Dame.

Michigan State. Couldn't have asked for a bigger night out of Drew Neitzel. Big, big win over Wisconsin puts them back in the discussion. Pretty much should be in with that win.

Killing its chances of getting in -- Florida State. Four-game losing streaks don't generally reflect well. Big three games at Maryland, home versus NC State and at Miami (FL). Might not be enough.

Oklahoma. If the Sooners ever appeared in the conversation with the four-game winning stretch, they couldn't appear more out of it now with a three-game skid.

Game of the week Georgetown-Pitt. This game is for the regular season crown. I don't care if both teams have two games following the game and Georgetown still has one before Pitt, this is it.

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